Crude oil Outlook - Precious Metal prices

Crude oil: An uptrend will start as soon, as the market rises above resistance level 99

(Anton Kolhanov)

Friday forecast, 29 July 2022

Uptrend scenario

An uptrend will start as soon, as the market rises above resistance level 99, which will be followed by moving up to resistance level 101.50.

Downtrend scenario

The downtrend may be expected to continue, while market is trading below resistance level 99, which will be followed by reaching support level 92.90.

This/next week forecast (July 25 – 29, 2022)

Uptrend scenario

An uptrend will start as soon, as the market rises above resistance level 101.53, which will be followed by moving up to resistance level 114.05.

Downtrend scenario

An downtrend will start as soon, as the market drops below support level 92.93, which will be followed by moving down to support level 85.41.

Monthly forecast, August 2022

Uptrend scenario

An uptrend will start as soon, as the market rises above resistance level 101.53, which will be followed by moving up to resistance level 114.05.

Downtrend scenario

An downtrend will start as soon, as the market drops below support level 92.93, which will be followed by moving down to support level 85.41 and 76.98.

Precious Metal prices soar as US enters ‘technical recession’ – What’s next? [Video]

(Phil Carr – The Gold & Silver Club)

Historically, the summer months have always been considered to be one of the most lucrative periods of the year for commodity traders – and so far that trend is certainly living up to expectations!

Once again, the Federal Reserve raised interest rates by a “super-sized” 75 basis points for the second month in a row on Wednesday as it doubled down on its aggressive approach to taming rapidly surging inflation despite early signs the U.S economy is starting to lose steam.

The decision, which had unanimous support, extended a string of interest rate increases that began in March and have ratcheted up in size as the Fed’s battle to fight inflation intensifies.

The rate rise means the central bank is in the throes of the most aggressive cycle of monetary tightening since 1981. It follows a half-point rate hike in May and a 75 basis points rate hike last month – the first of that magnitude since 1994.

With inflation running at its fastest pace in more than four decades, further rate rises are expected well into the second half of 2022, but the pace of those increases is hotly debated.

However, it goes without saying that inflation remains the Fed’s number one priority and they’re willing to sacrifice anything to achieve it – even if it comes at the cost of a recession.

Central bank policymakers want to see a string of decelerating monthly inflation readings but economists warn that might not happen for months.

Over the last 12 months, inflation has spread to every corner of the economy with primary Cost of Living Expenses from Food, Fuel, Rent, Clothing and Energy prices – rising at double-digit annual rates for the first time since the early 1980s. U.S CPI data released this month once again showed a further surge in those unavoidable areas of spending with Consumer Price Inflation rising at its fastest pace in 41-years.

Elsewhere, data released on Thursday confirmed the U.S economy has plunged into a “technical recession” in a sign of things to come for the rest of the world.

The official measurement of a recession is two successive quarters of falling gross domestic product.

According to official figures from the commerce department U.S GDP fell 0.9% on an annualised basis in the second quarter. This follows first-quarter GDP data showing the U.S economy shrank 1.6% in the first three months of 2022.

The fresh figures illustrate the scale of damage historic high inflation is wreaking on the world’s biggest economy, whilst simultaneously eroding consumers’ purchasing power.

If history has taught us anything, then the one thing that we do know for certain is both scenarios, whether that’s persistent Inflation or a recession, ultimately present an extremely lucrative backdrop for precious metal prices.

Right now, this is a traders’ market packed with endless opportunities to capitalize on the short-term macro-driven volatility – And that’s the optimal strategy right now!

Where are prices heading next? Watch The Commodity Report now, for my latest price forecasts and predictions: